By now, we’ve all heard the many elucidations on the year ahead. From predictions and financial outlooks to economic forecasts and market guesses, there are so many thoughts on how the next twelve months will unfold from business, talent, technology, and leadership perspectives.
So, essentially, we’re in for another year in which the Future of Work movement will continue to reshape and transform the very ways we think about how (and why) we work.
2023 was a watershed year. Artificial intelligence fully sped its hype train in circles around both business and consumer personas, while dire-then-rosy-then-dire-again-then-optimistic economic outlooks pushed all of us onto a nonstop financial rollercoaster. The labor market remained (and remains) a tad volatile, even though it’s showing signs of slowing steadily based on jobs data heading into the final five or six weeks of 2023 (with an approximate 12%-to-14% drop in job adds in December from November).
And then there’s cooling inflation, as well, which will (hopefully) contribute to a strong economic year as a better balance between supply and demand converges with a full year of economic and labor market consistency.
The Future of Work Exchange believes there are dozens of factors that will shape the foundation of 2024. Here are, however, four of the most critical trends:
- The effects of artificial intelligence won’t be measured by its utilization, but rather its impact. Attempting to measure the adoption of AI-based technology is difficult (even though we’ve tried that here at the Exchange many times before) because artificial intelligence utilization isn’t always rooted in enterprise software nor is it fully-integrated into core operational systems. It will be critical for businesses to measure the true effects of AI via its impact rather than how many users or how broadly the technology is being leveraged, i.e., is AI contributing to better talent matches?, is AI augmenting core roles?, is AI enabling deeper and more educated talent decision-making?, etc.
- The “human factor” is beyond crucial…it’s essential. The term “empathy” became omnipresent in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic as more and more workers craved non-financial support from their leaders, mentors, and employers. The pandemic was more than a transformational event; it forced professionals to view their jobs and careers from a human perspective (“mortality” being a major factor in the face of death, loss, and disruption) and, consequently, resulted in a shift from leaders towards compassion and empathy. While some attributes of the human factor were lost when businesses declared “normalcy” back in fashion, the mantra still rings true: the Future of Work thrives on humanity. As talented workers have more choices than ever before, and as new jobs/roles are decided upon by candidates from more than just compensation (like charity, workplace culture, diversity, inclusion, etc.), the “human factor” is an essential piece of the Future of Work movement.
- The next 12 months will shape the very future of business leadership. Are leaders made, or, are leaders born? This was always a fundamental question that unfortunately paved the career roads for many a professional for the past few decades. “Leadership” in and of itself is a nebulous concept given that every enterprise executive shares varied responsibilities, each with a tinge towards “strategic” or “tactical” that dictates how, when, and why they lead. The stakes have changed, though, and so has the very definition of leadership; it’s not just “management,” it’s mentorship, coaching, and conscious thinking that drives productivity, humanity, culture, and inclusion. Leaders have the potential to impact not just the financial or economic successes of their respective organizations, but also how the organization is perceived to future talent and how candidates determine its overall workplace environment. In 2024, business leadership hits a tipping point.
- The blended workforce represents the future of talent acquisition. It’s no longer a question of how the extended workforce will impact the greater business arena…it’s how much value it will drive. Ardent Partners and Future of Work Exchange research pegs the contingent workforce at 49.5% of the average company’s total workforce, a figure that, ten years ago, Ardent predicted would become a reality given the trajectory of non-employee talent. It’s not just the overall size of the extended workforce, though, that makes it such a high-value Future of Work attribute, but rather the ecosystem around this workforce that represents so much innovation and evolution. AI-fueled talent acquisition, the continued growth of direct sourcing, the convergence of VMS and HR-led technology, massive shifts in how businesses find and engage talent, and the next great era of the Gig Economy all point to the extended workforce as a key Future of Work tenet in 2024 and beyond.
